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UK unexpectedly still in recession

by Scott Bicheno on 23 October 2009, 13:09

Tags: General Business

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Economists have been warning for a while that the recession in the UK is likely to be more protracted than in much of the rest of the world, and the latest GDP (gross domestic product) figures for the third quarter have revealed that it's not over yet.

The technical definition of a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative growth. The preliminary estimate of Q3 growth from the Office of National Statistics is -0.4 percent, making this the sixth consecutive quarter of negative GDP for the UK - its longest recession in recorded history. GDP has decreased by a total of 5.2 percent in the past 12 months.

Pretty much all commentators and ‘experts' had predicted a return to growth in Q3, but only a measly 0.2 percent on average, so the more positive slant is that these figures are only 0.6 percent lower than expected and they could yet be revised upwards.

What's most worrying, however, is that most other developed countries came out of recession a quarter or two ago. The BBC spoke to the usual politicians to get their response and the Chancellor - Alistair Darling - seems to think things will sort themselves out eventually, while the opposition economy chiefs - George Osborne and Vince Cable - were quick to jump on this as further evidence of the government's mismanagement of the economy.

 



HEXUS Forums :: 4 Comments

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Errm…I'm not surprised? I was listening to R4 weeks ago and I'm pretty sure they had economists on predicting certainly no growth and probably a slight contraction in Q3, hoping for growth in Q4 but more likely in Q1, 2010?
Alistair Darling gets yet another thing wrong. Its no surprise really. I think the other countries that have moved out of their recession will look at this fact and look at the UK in a different view. The UK as a country of industrie and investiment is getting weaker and weaker all the time.

Gone are the days where London was the place to have your business and money. Current government has bleed the economy dry, probably never have the status in the world it once did.
Speculators speculating speculated wrong again. What a surprise.
Agent
Speculators speculating speculated wrong again. What a surprise.

Especially since it's the same speculators that speculated that the debt was sustainable. :O_o1: